With the recent CNN report that the Electoral College could be tied after the November election, could the Obamacare ruling show a hint to how Supreme Court intervention in November would impact who’s president in 2013?
Ironically, just a few months ago, more conservatives probably felt pretty darn good about the possibility of the 2012 presidential election coming down to the Supreme Court. With the 5-4 split between conservatives and liberals on the nation’s highest Court, there once was the feeling that if the Court had to play a role in the outcome of the national election akin to the circumstances surrounding Bush v. Gore, Republicans would have the upper hand – and, perhaps, the presidency starting in 2013.
Likely, conservatives don’t feel so confident about that now. Moreso, they are probably dutifully aware that anything resembling a close race probably looks like a forecast for a narrow Obama victory in the fall.
Thank the Affordable Care Act for that shift in sentiments.
Although the feelings of betrayal and mistrust for Chief Justice John Roberts (and, indirectly, President George W. Bush) have not been on high display as they were during the immediate aftermath of the ACA ruling earlier this summer, thoughts on how the Court could play a detrimental for Republicans in the presidential election will simmer to a slow boil as the summer finishes up. The positive impact that upholding the controversial law has had on President Obama’s re-election momentum has already been seen in some polls, with the president up by as many as 6 points despite bad jobs numbers and low GDP growth. The looming possibility of some court case being kicked up to the Supreme Court – heightened by the notion that the Electoral College could actually deadlock in an election filled with negative campaigning against Romney and dissatisfaction with the economy over the past 4 years – seems to work in President Obama’s favor at this point as both incumbent candidate and ACA victor.
Catch more of Lenny McAllister’s “Could Electoral College Tie in 2012 Lead to Obama Victory?” on Politic365
Also now available!
Also now available on Kindle